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Taxes and the President-Elect - What Can We Expect?

1/3/2017

15 Comments

 
2016 Post-Election Tax Update

Any change in Presidential Administration brings the possibility – if not the likelihood - of tax law changes, and the election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States is no exception. During the campaign, President-elect Trump outlined a number of tax proposals for individuals and businesses.

A Presidential candidate’s proposals can, and often do, change over the course of a campaign and after taking office. However, here are some of the general tax proposals made by the President-elect during the campaign:

Campaign proposals

During the campaign, President-elect Trump called for reducing the number of individual income tax rates, lowering the individual income tax rates for most taxpayers, lowering the corporate tax rate, creating new tax incentives, and repealing the Affordable Care Act (ACA or “Obama-Care”) (including presumably the ACA’s tax-related provisions). The President-elect, in his campaign materials, highlighted several goals of tax reform:

—Tax relief for middle class Americans

—Simplify the Tax Code

—Grow the American economy

—Do not add to the debt or deficit

First 100 days

President-elect Trump also identified during the campaign those proposals that he intends to pursue during his first 100 days in office:

—The Middle-Class Tax Relief and Simplification Act:  This proposal would provide middle class families with two children a 35 percent tax cut and lower the “business tax rate” from 35 percent to 15 percent.

—Affordable Childcare and Eldercare Act: A proposal described by Trump during the campaign that would allow individuals to deduct childcare and elder care from their taxes, incentivize employers to provide on-site childcare and create tax-free savings accounts for children and elderly dependents.

—Repeal and Replace Obamacare Act: A proposal made by Trump during the campaign to fully repeal the ACA.

—American Energy & Infrastructure Act: A proposal described by Trump during the campaign that “leverages public-private partnerships, and private investments through tax incentives, to spur $1 trillion in infrastructure investment over 10 years.”

Individual income taxes

The current individual income tax rates are 10, 15, 25, 28, 33, 35, and 39.6 percent. During the campaign, President-elect Trump proposed a new rate structure of 12, 25 and 33 percent:

—Current rates of 10 percent and 15 percent = 12 percent under new rate structure.

—Current rates of 25 percent and 28 percent = 25 percent under new rate structure.

—Current rates of 33 percent, 35 percent and 39.6 percent = 33 percent under new rate structure.

This rate structure mirrors one proposed by House Republicans earlier this year. During the campaign, President-elect Trump did not detail the precise income levels within which each bracket percentage would fall, instead generally estimating for joint returns a 12-percent rate on income up to $75,000; a 25-percent rate for income between $75,000 and $225,000; and 33 percent on income more than $225,000 (brackets for single filers will be half those dollar amounts) and “low-income Americans” would have a 0-percent rate.

Closely-related to the individual income tax rates are the capital gains and dividend tax rates. The current capital gains rate structure, imposed based upon income tax brackets, would presumably be re-aligned to fit within President-elect Trump’s proposed percent income tax bracket levels.

Other proposals made by President-elect Trump during the campaign would limit itemized deductions, eliminate the head-of-household filing status and eliminate all personal exemptions. He has also called for increasing the standard deduction. Under Trump’s plan, the standard deduction would increase to $15,000 for single individuals and to $30,000 for married couples filing jointly. In contrast, the 2017 standard deduction amounts under current law are $6,350 and $12,700, respectively, as adjusted for inflation

Business taxes

On the business front, President-elect Trump stressed the simplification and reduction of business taxes. 

For small businesses, Trump has proposed a doubling of the Code Sec. 179 small business expensing election to $1 million. Trump has also proposed the immediate deduction of all new investments in a business, which has also been endorsed by Congressional tax reform/simplification advocates.

President-elect Trump called during the campaign for a reduction in the corporate tax rate to 15 percent. He also proposed sharing that rate with owners of “pass through” entities (sole proprietorships, partnerships and S corporations), but only for profits that are put back into the business.

Based on campaign materials, a one-time reduced rate would also be available to encourage companies to repatriate earnings of foreign subsidiaries that are held offshore. Many more details about these corporate and international tax proposals are expected.

Other taxes

President-elect Trump proposed during the campaign to repeal the alternative minimum tax (AMT) and the federal estate and gift tax. The unified federal estate and gift tax currently starts for estates valued at $5.490 million for 2017; Trump, however, also proposed a “carryover basis” rule for inherited stock and other assets from estates of more than $10 million. This additional proposal has already been criticized by some Republican members of Congress, while some Democrats have raised repeal of the federal estate tax as a non-starter.

Health care

The Affordable Care Act (ACA) created several new taxes that impact individuals and businesses. These taxes range from an excise tax on medical devices to taxes on high-dollar health insurance plans. The ACA also created the net investment income (NII) tax and the Additional Medicare Tax, both of which generally impact higher-income taxpayers. The ACA also made significant changes to the medical expense deduction and other rules that affect individuals. For individuals and employers, the ACA created new mandates to carry or offer insurance, or otherwise pay a penalty.

President-elect Trump made repeal of the ACA one of the centerpieces of his campaign. During the campaign, the President-elect said he would call a special session of Congress to repeal the ACA. Just how a total repeal may move through Congress, however, remains to be seen. Lawmakers could vote to repeal the entire ACA or just parts.

Working with Congress

When the 115th Congress convenes in January 2017, it will find the GOP in control of both the House and Senate, therefore allowing Trump to move forward on his proposals more easily. It remains to be seen, however, what compromises will be necessary between Congress and the Trump Administration to find common ground. Compromise will likely be needed to bring onboard both GOP fiscal conservatives who will want revenue offsets to pay for tax reduction, and Senate Democrats who have the filibuster rule to prevent passage of tax bills with fewer than 60 votes. And beyond considering tax proposals one tax bill at a time, it remains to be seen whether proposals can be packaged within a broader mandate for “tax reform” and “tax simplification.”

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